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TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Bronx, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Northwestern Suffolk, Richmond (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Queens, Southern Westchester, Southwestern Suffolk, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic, and Western Union * STORM INFORMATION: - About 910 miles south-southwest of New York City NY or about 980 miles south-southwest of Montauk Point NY - 28.5N 79.8W - Storm Intensity 70 mph - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 9 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Tropical Storm Isaias, located off the East-Central Florida coast will continue to move to the north-northwest, then turn due north late tonight. It will continue to move north on Monday along the Southeastern US Coast. Isaias will then weaken slowly as it accelerates and curves northeast over the Carolinas Tuesday morning, then over our area by Tuesday evening. Confidence is increasing with respect to the magnitude of local hazards and impacts. The main threats with this system are locally heavy rainfall, strong winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding, along with high surf and dangerous rip currents. Locally heavy rain is expected with a widespread 2 to 4 inches likely, with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible. The heavy rain is most likely to occur across western parts of the area from late Monday night through Tuesday night, and eastern sections Tuesday into Tuesday night. The strongest winds are likely to occur across coastal sections late in the day Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Dangerous marine conditions are likely across all of the coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night. High surf and dangerous rip currents are expected along the ocean beaches Monday through Wednesday. The effects from Tropical Storm Isaias are then expected to diminish quickly from southwest to northeast across the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across northeastern New Jersey, New York City and the Lower Hudson Valley. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across shoreline communities. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation of 1 to 2 feet with locally up to 3 feet possible with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * TORNADOES: Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


by Ben Kenigsberg Diners, strip malls, housing developments. The landscape has an undeniable familiarity, even if there aren't any recognizable landmarks. Welcome to Long Island, the great boring sprawl. Like Judy Berlin ...

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by Ben Kenigsberg

Diners, strip malls, housing developments. The landscape has an undeniable familiarity, even if there aren't any recognizable landmarks. Welcome to Long Island, the great boring sprawl.


Judy Berlin

, Eric Mendelsohn's heinously overrated paean to suburban monotony, Michael Cuesta's


wants to emphasize just how bleak life is in the non-Hamptons suburbs. But like

Judy Berlin

again, it overstates the case. As a lifelong Long Islander, I can attest that life in a land where nightclubs close at 11 p.m. is indeed dull, but not everyone hates living there. And there are plenty of people there who aren't, well, disturbed.

The title of Cuesta's movie refers to the Long Island Expressway, the truck-filled highway that, the movie reminds us, is responsible for claiming the lives of Harry Chapin and Alan Pakula. "You got the lanes going east, you got the lanes going west," says Howie Blitzer (Paul Franklin Dano), the protagonist. "You also got the lanes going straight to hell."

Judging from the movie, one can forget about the lanes going east and west. Howie is fifteen. His mother is dead, thanks to Exit 52. His dad Marty (Bruce Altman) spends most of his at-home time shacked up with a bimbo. Marty, a construction semi-mogul, is under federal scrutiny because of faulty wiring in one of his developments. Howie's best friend, Gary (Billy Kay), robs houses for kicks and, the movie suggests but doesn't confirm, recruits children for a local pedophile. Said pedophile, Big John (Brian Cox), has a thing for boys like Howie. Another of Howie's friends is involved in an incestuous relationship. Howie discovers he's gay, a preference for which, he knows, his friends will ostracize him.

And you thought your life was depressing.

Cuesta's movie makes the mistake of equating misery with realism. On the surface, Cuesta's willingness to deal honestly with molestation, teenage sexuality and ill-attended father-son relationships smacks of integrity. But Cuesta's insistence on holding back all rays of sunshine is ludicrous. I don't care who you are; all lives have ups and downs. But just when things are looking up for Howie -- like when he stops robbing houses with Gary and goes back to school -- Cuesta ignores the improvement and returns to the pedophilia strand of the plot, or introduces a new problem, like child abuse.

The chances of Howie's life reverting to normalcy become slimmer by the minute, and Cuesta, a first-time filmmaker, often strains laughably to maintain the somber mood. For example, we're expected to assume Marty's guilt, even though he claims innocence. The only person who might actually believe him is his lawyer (Adam LeFevre), but in the interest of denying Marty a potential salvation, the movie has the lawyer

drop dead

in his only scene.

Marty insists innocence to Howie, but Howie shrugs it off and says, "Your whole life is a lie." The use of such a hoary dialogue clich at once makes the title a neat little pun, and kills whatever chance Howie and Marty might have of having a realistic conversation. The wiring scandal is the perfect vehicle for local detail -- Marty's story seems drawn from Newsday headlines -- but the film knows far more about Long Island than the human beings who inhabit it.

Still, it's tough not to give


bonus points for not totally copping out. There's a chilling moment when, in the middle of seducing Howie, Big John receives a call from his mother. John is, by far, the most interesting character in the film -- half Norman Bates and half Mr. Feeny from

Boy Meets World

. We're allowed to sense his pain through what goes unsaid. We first glimpse him celebrating his birthday with his mother and an ambiguous makeshift family; it all seems relatively normal, but who are these people, and what do they mean to John? Cox, a gifted Scottish actor best known for playing an oddly spelled rendition of Hannibal Lecktor in Michael Mann's


, makes John charming enough to fascinate Howie, but frightening enough to make Mason Verger run for the covers. He's the most complex movie pervert since Dylan Baker's character in



But what John has -- humanity, namely -- is what the rest of the movie lacks. Ultimately, the film never gives you enough of a handle on Howie to decide whether he's a tragic figure or just a kid who doesn't know how to get his act together. It seems true to life when the movie closes without resolving anything, but it's also unrewarding: driving on the L.I.E. may be harrowing, but at least you get somewhere.