Weather Alert  

ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bronx, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Northwestern Suffolk, Orange, Putnam, Richmond (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Queens, Southern Westchester, Southwestern Suffolk, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic, and Western Union * STORM INFORMATION: - About 540 miles south-southwest of New York City NY or about 620 miles southwest of Montauk Point NY - 33.8N 78.5W - Storm Intensity 85 mph - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 22 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Isaias, located off the coast of North Carolina, will continue to move to north-northeast tonight along the coast. Isaias will slowly weaken as it accelerates northeast on Tuesday, likely moving over our area Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, confidence continues to increase with respect to the magnitude of local hazards and impacts. The main threats with this system involve heavy rainfall, strong winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding, along with high surf and dangerous rip currents. Additionally, a few tornadoes are possible. Locally heavy rainfall is expected with a widespread 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible. The heaviest rain is most likely to occur across New York City, Northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley early Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening, and eastern sections Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. The strongest winds are likely to occur across New York City Metro, Long Island, northeast New Jersey, southern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley, and southeast Connecticut. Dangerous marine conditions are likely across all of the coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night. High surf and dangerous rip currents are expected along the ocean beaches Monday through Wednesday. The effects from Tropical Storm Isaias are expected to diminish quickly from southwest to northeast across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across New Jersey, New York City, the Lower Hudson Valley, and portions of southeastern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across shoreline communities. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

"Got Fear? - Lose it"

Interestingly, most of our challenges are brought about because of fear. It's safe to say that perhaps all of our challenges are brought about by fear.
Fear carries an energy into the universe ...

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Interestingly, most of our challenges are brought about because of fear. It's safe to say that perhaps all of our challenges are brought about by fear.

Fear carries an energy into the universe that is unstable, wobbly. It is abstract and such thoughts do not know what to attract back to the sender. Fear is not necessarily answered with the challenge that is feared, but it is met with unstable, wobbly circumstances. For example, if you incessantly fear that your car will break down, you may not cause the car to malfunction, but you allow for the energy to create instability elsewhere. Perhaps your washing machine will break down, perhaps you will fall and bruise your knee. The unstable energy that is attracted in response to fear will create instability.

Think about the last few things you worried about. Did any of them occur exactly as you imagined them? Probably not. But can you see a trend that during your most worrisome times, things just seem to go wrong? Probably, yes.

The pattern of putting FEAR into the universe and, in return, experiencing instability reinforces the deepest level of believe that FEAR is valid. Maybe you didn't have to worry about the car breaking down, but things do go wrong - as the bruised knee indicates. Prolonged worrying affects the energy more completely than a fleeting thought.

So what do you do to eliminate your fears?

This exercise takes a few moments and here's where you really have to want to conquer your thoughts. When you feel a fearful thought, take a moment to write down the thought and answer it yourself with probability of outcome and a positive view. For example, you are afraid the roof will leak during the driving rain. Perhaps it will but the thought is only "fear" if you did not notice any signs that leaking was imminent. Is the roof shoddy? Does it desperately need replacing? Has it leaked in the past? If the answer is "yes" then you are not experiencing fear - you are acknowledging a viable outcome based on circumstances and worrying about the expense which perhaps you already know you face.

Now, suppose that there were no "leaking" warning signs. What is the probability that the roof will leak? Probably none. Instead of putting fear out there, write down what you enjoy about the rain. You are warm and safe. You are dry. The rain is nourishing the earth. The rain sounds beautiful and you are protected by your home from its intense wetness.

You are driving in the rain. You are afraid of having an accident. What percentage of times have you had an accident while driving in the rain ? What is the likelihood of it happening now? When you arrive safely at home, record your thoughts. Writing down your fears removes them from your deepest database. Writing down the real or probable happy outcome completes the process of reminding your deepest self that your fears are imaginary and unfounded. If you can acknowledge your abstract fears regularly, you will quickly sense them lessening, and therefore, you will quickly notice relief from annoying little chaotic events.

Afraid of being broke? How many times has this repetitive fear been met by an actual inability to pay your bills? Write it down. Remember times when you were fearful and try to recall the outcome. Just as an extreme diet can cause your body to adopt a "starvation mode" voiding the ease of weight loss, so too can unwarranted fear about a shortage of funds create a "starvation mode" where you have enough, but not more. Record your fears. Write down what is really likely to happen and then focus on the probability that you will be fine, better than fine.

As you become proficient at recognizing your fears and their unfounded beginnings, you will suddenly or gradually become less dependent on them. You will break the pattern of being fearful first and begin to be content with the present circumstances as they truly exist.