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ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bronx, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Northwestern Suffolk, Orange, Putnam, Richmond (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Queens, Southern Westchester, Southwestern Suffolk, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic, and Western Union * STORM INFORMATION: - About 540 miles south-southwest of New York City NY or about 620 miles southwest of Montauk Point NY - 33.8N 78.5W - Storm Intensity 85 mph - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 22 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Isaias, located off the coast of North Carolina, will continue to move to north-northeast tonight along the coast. Isaias will slowly weaken as it accelerates northeast on Tuesday, likely moving over our area Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, confidence continues to increase with respect to the magnitude of local hazards and impacts. The main threats with this system involve heavy rainfall, strong winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding, along with high surf and dangerous rip currents. Additionally, a few tornadoes are possible. Locally heavy rainfall is expected with a widespread 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible. The heaviest rain is most likely to occur across New York City, Northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley early Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening, and eastern sections Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. The strongest winds are likely to occur across New York City Metro, Long Island, northeast New Jersey, southern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley, and southeast Connecticut. Dangerous marine conditions are likely across all of the coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night. High surf and dangerous rip currents are expected along the ocean beaches Monday through Wednesday. The effects from Tropical Storm Isaias are expected to diminish quickly from southwest to northeast across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across New Jersey, New York City, the Lower Hudson Valley, and portions of southeastern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across shoreline communities. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

Statewide Poll Confirms New Yorkers’ Strong Approval of NY SAFE Act

New Yorkers Against Gun Violence (NYAGV) today announced that a statewide poll of New York voter attitudes about the NY SAFE (Secure Ammunition and Firearms Enforcement) Act reveals strong approval for the law.

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New York, NY - June 1, 2015 - New Yorkers Against Gun Violence (NYAGV) today announced that a statewide poll of New York voter attitudes about the NY SAFE (Secure Ammunition and Firearms Enforcement) Act reveals strong approval for the law. The poll was commissioned by NYAGV and conducted in April by Kiley & Company, an independent opinion research firm.

The poll also found strong support for the specific provisions of the law, with even gun owners supporting four of its six provisions. The NY SAFE Act was passed by a bipartisan legislature in January, 2013, soon after the Sandy Hook school shootings.

The Kiley & Company phone survey questioned 604 registered voters in New York State between April 14 and 16. The survey data was statistically adjusted by age, region and race to ensure representativeness.

Pollster Matthew Shelter of Kiley & Company commented, "The results of this survey clearly dispel the myth that the SAFE Act is not popular. On the contrary, New York voters are twice as likely to support the SAFE Act as oppose it.”

“This survey confirms yet again that New Yorkers strongly support our state’s smart gun laws,” said Leah Gunn Barrett, NYAGV Executive Director. “Voters realize that the provisions of the SAFE Act—including universal background checks, renewable pistol permits, a stronger assault weapons ban and protections for victims of domestic violence–are common sense measures designed to keep guns out of the wrong hands,” she added.

Voters Show Clear Support for the SAFE Act and its Provisions

The survey showed that New York State voters support the SAFE Act by almost a 2-to-1 majority (61% vs. 31%), confirming findings of previous statewide polls. When questioned separately on specific aspects of the law, support was even greater:

  • An overwhelming majority of voters (89%) support background checks on all gun sales.
  • Also by an overwhelming majority (81%), voters support revoking pistol permits for anyone with an order of protection against them.
  • Over three quarters of voters (79%) approve of five-year renewable pistol permits.
  • Three quarters (75%) of voters support the stronger ban on military-style assault weapons.
  • Requiring background checks on ammunition sales is supported by 72% of voters.
  • Over two-thirds (68%) of voters support limiting ammunition magazines to seven bullets.

Gun Owners and Upstate Voters Support the Act’s Provisions, But Not the Act Itself

Although gun owners said they oppose the SAFE Act, with 67% against and 24% in favor, these same voters support four of the six provisions of the Act. They support background checks on all gun sales (80%); revoking pistol permits for persons with protection orders against them (76%); five-year pistol permit renewals (53%); and the stronger ban on assault weapons (60%).

Also, while more upstate voters said they oppose the Act (48%) than support it (44%), these same voters support all six of the Act’s provisions: background checks on all gun sales (81%); revoking pistol permits for persons with protection orders against them (78%); five-year pistol permit renewals (66%); the stronger ban on assault weapons (67%); background checks on ammunition sales (56%); and limits on high-capacity magazines (52%).

“Even with the corporate gun lobby’s relentless attacks and misrepresentation of the SAFE Act, voters understand that the law is reasonable, keeps guns out of dangerous hands, and does not trample on any law-abiding person’s right to own a gun,” said Barrett.

Details of Survey Results

New Yorkers Against Gun Violence is a statewide advocacy group working to reduce gun violence through advocacy and education designed to encourage action, influence public opinion and lead to policy change. With a primary focus on New York State, the organization also advocates at the local and national levels for sensible gun laws, policies and practices that protect New York State residents from gun violence.