Weather Alert  

ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut **ISAIAS MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bronx, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New Haven, Northern New London, Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Northwestern Suffolk, Orange, Putnam, Richmond (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern Queens, Southern Westchester, Southwestern Suffolk, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic, and Western Union * STORM INFORMATION: - About 540 miles south-southwest of New York City NY or about 620 miles southwest of Montauk Point NY - 33.8N 78.5W - Storm Intensity 85 mph - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 22 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Isaias, located off the coast of North Carolina, will continue to move to north-northeast tonight along the coast. Isaias will slowly weaken as it accelerates northeast on Tuesday, likely moving over our area Tuesday afternoon and evening. However, confidence continues to increase with respect to the magnitude of local hazards and impacts. The main threats with this system involve heavy rainfall, strong winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding, along with high surf and dangerous rip currents. Additionally, a few tornadoes are possible. Locally heavy rainfall is expected with a widespread 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible. The heaviest rain is most likely to occur across New York City, Northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley early Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening, and eastern sections Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. The strongest winds are likely to occur across New York City Metro, Long Island, northeast New Jersey, southern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley, and southeast Connecticut. Dangerous marine conditions are likely across all of the coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night. High surf and dangerous rip currents are expected along the ocean beaches Monday through Wednesday. The effects from Tropical Storm Isaias are expected to diminish quickly from southwest to northeast across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across New Jersey, New York City, the Lower Hudson Valley, and portions of southeastern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across shoreline communities. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

How Old Is Old Enough?

The Supreme Court recently heard arguments about whether children should ever be sentenced to life without parole for crimes that don t involve murder. At the heart of this argument lies a complicated question: when ...

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The Supreme Court recently heard arguments about whether children should ever be sentenced to life without parole for crimes that don t involve murder. At the heart of this argument lies a complicated question: when should a person be treated as an adult?

Generally, the answer people give is 18 - the age when the United States and the rest of the world considers young people capable of accepting responsibility for their actions. However, there are countless deviations. In the Catholic tradition, many church communities celebrate confirmation, when the young person is in junior high school, or even younger. That ritual is considered an initiation into the adult faith community. In the Jewish community, the bar mitzvah age is also celebrated during early adolescence.

In New York State, it is legally acceptable for a 16-year-old to drop out of school. A sixteen-year-old can obtain a junior license to operate a motor vehicle. One can be 18 to vote, enlist in the military, get married without parental consent and legally get a permit to carry a firearm.

It is also legally permissible for a 16-year-old to run away from home, refuse to return and apply for public assistance and emergency housing. It is not legal for anyone under 21 to purchase alcohol and/or consume it. One has to be 19 to purchase and smoke cigarettes. A 19-year-old cannot rent a car but he can drive our tanks in Afghanistan.

If you really think about it, we are not clear on what age someone is considered an adult. It is our inconsistency that fuels this issue. How old is old enough? Most adults will respond that it depends.

Clearly, the young person in the 21st century is far more developed intellectually and technologically than the young person growing up in the 1980 s. Young people today, at a very early age, are exposed to so much more. Many young people at an early age, for better or for worse, are forced to be self-reliant and independent. Developmentally, however, there are mixed views on whether or not, the young person of today is more mature and socially responsible. Some people would say yes, this generation is more mature and responsible. Others would say absolutely not. They would point to the measurable social data that shows a growing number young adults are out of control relative to drug and alcohol use and crime.

A growing number of adults would make the case that the present generation of teenagers under 21 are socially and emotionally immature. They would make the case based on developmental issues. Teenagers 30 or 40 years ago started working at an earlier age and had to be responsible for taking care of themselves. Little was handed to them. They had to work for whatever they wanted. Right after high school, if they did not go to college, they got a job and started to plan for their future-marriage and raising a family.

Why is this such a complex issue? Part of the problem lies in the growing dysfunction of family life. In the traditional family of 30 years ago, there were assigned tasks that each family member had at an identified age. Those tasks were age-appropriate and a parent or older sibling would help the younger sibling with mastering the task.

In too many families, there are no assigned tasks. Little or nothing is asked of children growing up today. Simple things like making your bed each day, cleaning your room, taking out the trash or helping with the dishes can sometimes be major household issues. Some parents try to engage the children in being responsible on ongoing basis but it ends up being a disaster. So they take the path of least resistance and do those things themselves.

How many high school students don t work or have assigned tasks at home, but still get a generous allowance? Some high school students don t get an allowance, but have access to money for anything social they want to do. In those cases, accountability for spending is almost nonexistent. So it s not surprising that a growing number of young adults are socially irresponsible and lacking accountability.

Parents need to raise the bar. They need to ask and expect more from their children. However, they must be consistent, even if their children s response is not consistent. We also have to be clear in what we re calling forth from our young people. If we want them to act like adults, we must treat them like adults and respect them as adults. We have to stop making excuses for their noncompliant behavior and call them to a higher standard of responsibility and accountability. If we do that, I am convinced they will rise to the occasion.

Recently, I had the opportunity of speaking in the Miller Place School District. During the day, I spoke to students in grades eight through 12. Due to space, the school assemblies took place in their gym. Students sat almost for an hour without fidgeting or talking. Their respect and their silence was deafening. When they were asked to interact, their response was overwhelming.

The issue that was addressed had to do with positive decision-making and standing together as a community to protecting the quality of life. The challenge before them was to build bridges and not walls and not be afraid to stand up and step out for the sake of justice. They were amazing, and their energy that day was contagious.

In the evening, there was a forum for parents. Students were encouraged to return at night with their parents. To the shock of the Board of Education and Superintendent of Schools, more than 700 people packed their middle school gymnasium. Hundreds of students returned with their parents.

We talked about reckless decision making and the use of heroin and other dangerous drugs that are putting our children at risk. During the evening presentation, the silence was deafening. Parents and students alike were challenged to take off the blinders. They were encouraged to begin conversations about strengthening relationships with each other so that together they and the larger community could courageously confront the infectious epidemic of addiction that is ripping at the heart of every community in Suffolk County.

The program ended with everyone standing up, linking arms and joining hands in solidarity, making a statement that people really do care and are willing to commit themselves to protecting the quality of life that we all value.